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Why Listening to the Crowd May Not Always Work

by Stuart Foster on March 25, 2009

style="text-align: center;">p christina hendricks Why Listening to the Crowd May Not Always Work

Facebook and it's creator Mark Zuckerberg have recently come under fire for comments he has supposedly made in internal memos and meetings about the wisdom of the customer. However, typically innovators haven't been entirely successful when the listen to the crowd's prevailing wisdom. Often the better idea is to go against the crowd and innovate a new solution. Apple, Galileo, and a variety of other "radicals" are the epitome of the American ideal specifically for that reason.

This kind of thinking however is best left to those people who aren't multi-billion dollar corporations. Risks are often left to those with less to lose. If you are making cash by the barrel, then it might not necessarily be a great idea to mess around to much with your formula. This has typically been the prevailing wisdom and dominant thought model within economics but American businesses love risks. We go big or go home (to the poor house).

The main reason risks are successful is because they go after an elite component of the market. They create an ideal which we all want to aspire to for better or worse. Thus they create an inherent need for us to buy/use their product in an effort to look cool.

The haute couture fashion industry is one that seems to go against the needs of the crowd. Rail thin models that lack any sort of curvature is not the typical male ideal nor is it typical of a woman's body. In fact, men prefer women WITH curves. However the industry's success speaks volumes: the fashion industry is a trillion dollar operation. How can you possibly make money by marketing clothes that are designed to fit .01% of women?

The reason (and crime) is that it creates a sense of elitism for women to aspire to. By creating this culture women feel the need to purchase these designs and brands an in effort to appear opulent and successful. It doesn't matter that these designs were not meant to be worn by the typical women who purchases them. The women are buying the culture not the clothes.

Facebook built its entire success on elitism. By restricting it's users to Ivy League schools and the NESCAC initially, Facebook was used by an elite group of people/influencers. They slowly expanded their base by opening it up very slowly to .edu emails, then to high school students and finally to everybody. They created an elitist culture that everyone wanted to be a part of. The key was restricting access early, building buzz, and then opening it up to the crowd when it had become a cultural phenomenon.

This is another example of the elitist model coming to fruition, Zuckerberg is merely trying to maintain the buzz that made his product innovative and successful. He should be copying Twitter wholesale!

My recommendation for this corporate dilemma: Form a small "start-up" environments within corporations in order to foster growth and new thinking. They could find the next new elitist or contradictory (but extremely successful) business model. I would treat those employees like a start up and only give them corporate money if they established a workable plan. This way you can get the best of both worlds: corporate stability and innovation.

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I see what you are saying about the elitism but I disagree that Facebook used this. Sure, there was buzz if your school didn't have the facebook yet, but, it was only a short time before every school in America had it. Zuckerberg did however generate good buzz about it and then released it in waves...soon high school kids were clamoring for it--i just wouldn't call it elitism.

I see what you are saying about the elitism but I disagree that Facebook used this. Sure, there was buzz if your school didn't have the facebook yet, but, it was only a short time before every school in America had it. Zuckerberg did however generate good buzz about it and then released it in waves...soon high school kids were clamoring for it--i just wouldn't call it elitism.

I see what you are saying about the elitism but I disagree that Facebook used this. Sure, there was buzz if your school didn't have the facebook yet, but, it was only a short time before every school in America had it. Zuckerberg did however generate good buzz about it and then released it in waves...soon high school kids were clamoring for it--i just wouldn't call it elitism.

I see what you are saying about the elitism but I disagree that Facebook used this. Sure, there was buzz if your school didn't have the facebook yet, but, it was only a short time before every school in America had it. Zuckerberg did however generate good buzz about it and then released it in waves...soon high school kids were clamoring for it--i just wouldn't call it elitism.

Being a more-than-average woman who (yes!) has to shop for clothes, I totally agree with your assessment. When the average American woman is a size 14, why are manufacturers catering to the lowest percentile (size 2/3 - huh?)?
As far as FB goes, I don't think they are listening or paying attention. Click on any business or media sites "share this" option and see how many Social Media sharing opportunities exist, and tell me we have no place else to go besides FB. NOT. As Twitter has proven, if you build it, they will come, and they will spend more time on your site and not your competitors IF it is more *comfortable* for them.
Yes, we are back to the size/clothes analogy. Though women may by Gucci for the branding and what it says about that woman, it is the rare person who will buy, then walk in a pair of shoes that truly doesn't fit, i.e. doesn't work for them. It all comes down to making your audience come in, get interested then get comfortable.
Are you hearing me/us, Mr. Zuckerberg?

Stuart-

You said you wanted more comments sou00e2u0080u00a6

I like much of what you say, but I have to take issue with your premise that bucking the trend is a formula for success. Only a small percentage of risks are successful. As a society we focus on those that succeed. The vast majority of us are not even aware of the thousands that fail every day. With great risk comes the potential, but not the guarantee, of great reward.

Apple, Galileo and other Radicals
You bring up an interesting set of examples, u00e2u0080u009cApple, Galileo, and a variety of other u00e2u0080u0098radicalsu00e2u0080u0099.u00e2u0080u009d Appleu00e2u0080u0099s greatest early success was the Macintosh. The Macu00e2u0080u0099s GUI OS addressed one of the two biggest complaints people had about personal computers, namely that they were complicated to use (the other being that they were expensive). In other words, it was a success because it responded to the complaints of the masses. Galileo was convicted of heresy and died under house arrest, but was heralded as a genius later because he was factually correct about the great physical truths of the universe. There was no associated business success or failure to be attributed there. As for any radicals that embody the, u00e2u0080u009cAmerican ideal,u00e2u0080u009d one has to acknowledge that the American ideal is based on some level of representative democracy approaching one person = one vote. In other words, the popular ideas/people rule, not the ones that ignore the majority.

u00e2u0080u0098Successfulu00e2u0080u0099 Innovation
3M has a notoriously successful program to support innovation. They routinely develop new products without regard to their eventual popularity or usefulness. THEN they try to take what theyu00e2u0080u0099ve learned and developed and try to find a use for it. For example, their chemists developed a new low-tack temporary adhesive that had no immediately apparent commercial application. After combining that with some other research on paper coatings, they were able to develop a prototype that 90% of a test market said that theyu00e2u0080u0099d buy. This evolved into a wildly successful product that you might know as the u00e2u0080u0098Post-It.u00e2u0080u0099 This success came from broad innovation combined with listening to the people, not from blindly bucking the trend.

u00e2u0080u0098Unsuccessfulu00e2u0080u0099 Innovation in evolution
Looking at the parallels to evolution: most random mutations (innovations) do not have any significant effect on their host or are harmful or even fatal to them. Thus, most mutations donu00e2u0080u0099t result in any observable change (i.e. fail). These are unseen or donu00e2u0080u0099t survive beyond a few generations and are therefore hardly observable in the current wild or in the fossil record. Occasionally, a mutation results in a significant and advantageous change that benefits the survival rate (u00e2u0080u0098fitnessu00e2u0080u0099 per Darwin) of the species and causes a significant change (success). These surviving genomes and are apparent in the population, living or in the fossil record and therefore are far more likely to be noticed, even though their far less common.

Unnoticed, u00e2u0080u0098Unsuccessfulu00e2u0080u0099 Innovation in business
Approximately ninety-nine percent of the new and innovative compounds found, developed and tested to become new drugs fail at some point and never reach the market. Yet, we can all name Viagra, a risky and innovative new use for a blood pressure drug, but not one of the unsuccessful drugs. Many of us can name Emeril Lagasse and Bobby Flay, but youu00e2u0080u0099ve probably forgotten about the fifty percent of the innovative and risk taking restaurateurs that fail within a year of opening their doors. Name your favorite risky, innovative television show. How long did it run? How many risky, innovative scripts get recycled before being made into pilots? How many risky, innovative pilots see airtime? How many risky, innovative shows get canceled before theyu00e2u0080u0099ve gotten their through their first season? How many of those can you name? Am I making my point? While success may result from risk and innovation (in fact they may even be necessary for great successes) they do not guarantee it. Rather our awareness generally focuses on these great successes, skewing our perception by overlooking the reality that most risk and innovation result in failure. In fact, studies have shown that successful entrepreneurs are generally not successful in their first ventures. Rather, their first success is generally between their third and fifth venture. It is persistence that defines the successful entrepreneur, i.e. the willingness to accept and learn from their failures and to try again.

Donu00e2u0080u0099t get me wrong- Iu00e2u0080u0099m not saying that risk or innovation is in anyway bad or even that with or without purpose they are useless. In fact I believe that they are vitally necessary for the continued survival of our economy, our society and even our species. Yet, unpopular risks are unlikely to achieve success, while popular and useful innovations will more likely bring their creators the rewards of their choice.

OK, Iu00e2u0080u0099ve ranted long enough. I welcome your feedbacku00e2u0080u00a6

@AHSpey